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News
Czech consumer and business sentiment resilient in July
50+ min ago (352+ words) ING Think Consumer sentiment softened in July yet remained above its long-term average. Business sentiment hovered around average values despite a marginal uptick. Both indices remain resilient while still below levels associated with better economic times. The mood in industry…...
FX Daily: Summer complacency questioned
6+ hour, 2+ min ago (249+ words) Energy price rises and the likely central bank response have triggered increased volatility across the bond, equity and FX space. This has led to some pressure on popular summer carry trades and refocused attention on energy-exporting currencies backed by central…...
FOMC preview: Fed to stay on hold after June’s hawkish shift
3+ hour, 49+ min ago (356+ words) While the recent surge in oil prices has led markets to increase their expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, June’s inflation data came in well below forecasts, and labour market figures were softer than anticipated. As a result, we…...
Asia week ahead: Rate decisions in Japan and Singapore, data on China and Taiwan
8+ hour, 28+ min ago (297+ words) ING Think Monetary policy in both Singapore and Japan is expected to remain unchanged. Markets will also focus on China's PMI and upcoming Politburo meeting and Taiwan's second-quarter GDP data Asia Research highlights of the week Japan: BoJ to hold…...
Lagarde’s comments at the press conference clearly point to September rate hike
21+ hour, 32+ min ago (468+ words) ING Think Our take-away from the press conference: the European Central Bank has again turned more hawkish, suggesting that a September rate hike is almost a done deal ECB president Christine Lagarde’s comments at the press conference were a good…...
Central Bank of Turkey stays on hold, citing geopolitics
23+ hour, 37+ min ago (554+ words) ING Think Turkey's central bank kept the policy rate unchanged, maintaining a cautious stance amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty and lingering inflation risks as oil prices rise again At its July meeting, the CBT left its policy rate (the one-week repo…...
Rates Spark: ECB ready to hike, just not today
1+ day, 5+ hour ago (425+ words) ING Think The ECB should keep the policy rate at 2.25%, but we do see a September hike as likely, especially as oil prices are moving higher again. One could argue for a front-loaded hike today, but over previous years the…...
FX Daily: Can the ECB break the euro’s low-volatility torpor?
1+ day, 5+ hour ago (344+ words) The ECB should keep rates on hold today, but we think policymakers will focus on preserving the hawkish market pricing. We suspect the now familiar post-meeting data leak will signal a September rate hike. That may keep EUR/USD supported…...
Bank Indonesia keeps rates on hold, signals greater support for growth
1+ day, 22+ hour ago (371+ words) Bank Indonesia unexpectedly kept its policy rate unchanged, signalling a greater willingness to support growth. Rising oil prices mean BI's tightening cycle may not be over yet. While improving sentiment has eased immediate market concerns, sustained foreign inflows will depend…...
Lower UK inflation weakens the case for rate hikes
2+ day, 5+ hour ago (354+ words) Lower food and services inflation is welcome news for the Bank of England hawks, who worry the UK is at risk of another persistent bout of price pressure. Though inflation is set to rise towards 3.5% later this year, we expect…...