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News
Kalshi Traders Bet on 10% U.S. Unemployment by 2030 as AI Job Cuts Rattle the Market
32+ min ago (547+ words) As of September 06, 2026, the market implied a roughly 10% probability of “yes,” per Kalshi. The odds moved about 10 points higher over the prior 24 hours, and the market recorded close to 100% of its all-time volume that same day. A 10% implied probability translates…...
Manifold Traders Put 46% Odds on a 2026 Fed Rate Hike as Inflation Refuses to Cool
1+ week, 3+ day ago (536+ words) That is a striking number. Twelve months ago, the debate was about how many rate cuts the Fed would deliver. A near coin-flip on a hike represents a full reversal of the 2026 narrative, and the money has moved fast enough…...