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News
After today's PPI data, Oxford Economics' PCE tracking nowcast points to a 0.15% M/M in headline inflation, still small enough that headline inflation should tick down to 3.6% Y/Y (from 3.7% in June)
4+ hour, 41+ min ago (500+ words) Newsquawk - Meanwhile, Pantheon Macroeconomics expects core PCE inflation to remain near 3.0% Y/Y, as higher energy prices ripple through to consumer goods prices while services inflation slows. - Pantheon adds that the absence of spillovers from higher energy prices into services…...
Newswire headlines note traders no longer fully price a Fed rate hike this year
4+ hour, 25+ min ago (456+ words) Newsquawk Pricing of a terminal hike slipping below fully priced is the classic late-cycle tell: in past tightening episodes, the point at which markets stop assigning full probability to the next move has typically marked the transition from debating the…...
US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade (Jul MM) 0.4% (Prev. 0.1%)
6+ hour, 10+ min ago (458+ words) Newsquawk A step-up in the core PPI trade-excluding measure of this size matters chiefly because this variant strips out the volatile trade-services margin component and therefore reads closer to underlying domestic pipeline pressure, the series that has historically correlated better…...
Fed's Barkin (2027 voter) says still an open question whether the Fed needs to raise rates to restore 2% inflation, or whether it is already on a path down
5+ hour, 59+ min ago (175+ words) Newsquawk There are also reasons to think price pressures are embedded, with either weakening demand or a rate increase needed to meet the Fed's target Strong arguments that inflation will ease, given modest compensation pressure and tariff, oil and other…...
South Korea confirms to have made first gold-related investment in 13 years during Q2
17+ hour, 46+ min ago (458+ words) Newsquawk A central bank returning to gold after a long absence sits within the broader reserve-diversification trend that has underpinned official-sector buying in recent years, a flow that has historically been price-insensitive and persistent rather than tactical. The detail that…...
US sells 17-wk bills at high-rate 3.755%, B/X 3.16x
1+ day, 3+ hour ago (357+ words) Newsquawk Weekly bill auctions are the most routine stop on the Treasury calendar, and the 17-week tenor is a relatively recent addition created to give the front of the curve more granularity between the three-month and six-month lines. The metrics…...
JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, citing eased concerns as inflation appears non-sticky
1+ day, 4+ hour ago (381+ words) Newsquawk House-view calls of this kind from a large sell-side economist are routine fare ahead of policy meetings and rarely move the front end on their own; what has historically mattered is whether the call is a consensus restatement or…...
China's Finance Ministry auction 50-year ultra-long special treasury bonds at a yield of 2.2831%
1+ day, 14+ hour ago (397+ words) Newsquawk Ultra-long special treasury issuance sits outside China's regular funding calendar; these tranches have historically been earmarked for specific policy purposes rather than deficit financing in the ordinary sense, and the 50-year tenor places duration supply at the furthest point…...
Fed's Collins (2028 voter) says poor Americans are struggling to make ends meet, and warns that the central bank may need to raise rates to cool inflation, according to FT
1+ day, 14+ hour ago (496+ words) Newsquawk She indicated that she would be open to backing an increase as soon as September if the data dictated it, stating “I do see the possibility that economic conditions in the coming months will require tighter policy, and I…...
PREVIEW: US CPI due Wednesday 12th August, 2026 at 13:30BST/08:30EDT | Newsquawk
2+ day, 5+ hour ago (342+ words) PREVIEW: US CPI due Wednesday 12th August, 2026 at 13:30BST/08:30EDT newsquawk.com EXPECTATIONS: Headline CPI is expected to rise 0.1% M/M in July, rebounding from the -0.4% decline in June, while the annual rate is expected to ease to 3.4% Y/Y from 3.5% Core CPI…...