7+ hour, 51+ min ago  (178+ words) The 0. 8% q/q rise in New Zealand's GDP in Q1 was flattered by residual seasonality and overstated the economy's underlying momentum. Even so, with the RBNZ increasingly concerned about inflation risks, we think it will start hiking rates at its next…...

12+ hour, 10+ min ago  (141+ words) Kevin Warsh's highly anticipated first meeting as Federal Reserve Chair did not fail to live up to expectations. While the promise of significant institutional reform will matter a lot over the months and years ahead, in the near term the…...

15+ hour, 48+ min ago  (34+ words) Chief Emerging Markets Economist Emerging Europe Economics Update Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Emerging Europe Rapid Response Phone Number +44 (0)20 7823 5000 Capital Economics Ltd 5th Floor, 100 Victoria Street Cardinal Place London...

2+ day, 3+ hour ago  (157+ words) CPI inflation will still rise over the next six to nine months despite it holding steady at 2. 8% in May. But the fall in the oil price ahead of a US-Iran deal means it's becoming more likely that inflation won't rise…...

2+ day, 18+ hour ago  (160+ words) AI's effects so far primarily reflect a boost to demand from infrastructure spending. A supply-side improvement from efficiency gains will come, but we continue to expect these to arrive gradually in the late 2020s and 2030s. Disruption in the labour market is…...

3+ day, 2+ hour ago  (148+ words) While the Reserve Bank of Australia predictably left rates unchanged today, it clearly signalled that it was far too early for it to declare victory in its battle against inflation. With underlying inflation set to strengthen further in the coming…...

6+ day, 10+ hour ago  (143+ words) And fiscal policy is unlikely to come to the rescue Credit data published today showed bank loan growth in China slowing for a 14th consecutive month to a fresh record low. The slowdown in bank lending is not the result of…...

6+ day, 16+ hour ago  (157+ words) Hungary's central bank had already been inching towards reducing interest rates and the big downside surprise in the May inflation figures has prompted us to pencil in a larger 50bp cut (to 5. 75%) at the MPC meeting later this month. More broadly,…...

1+ week, 5+ hour ago  (70+ words) Capital Economics - Analysis Receive timely, independent insights from experts in every market. - Data and Forecasts Interact with fresh, actionable data in clear dashboards. - Economist Interaction Engage with our economists via online channels and live events. - Subscription Products Access our analysis,…...

1+ week, 2+ day ago  (143+ words) It is hard to accurately gauge the extent to which the adoption of AI is affecting payrolls, but the recent improvement in jobs growth in those industries most exposed to AI suggests any negative effects have eased. On the flip…...