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After biggest hiring binge ever in 2020-2021, it was clear there’d be a lot of sorting out & cleaning up afterwards. Is it finally time to bottom-fish this stock? Or is it a falling knife? Big Tech is finally plowing their cash & their investors’ cash into the economy. Tax refunds make great down-payments which are gre
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My Thoughts about those July Retail Sales
4+ week, 1+ day ago (1263+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation Not seasonally adjusted, retail sales rose by 0.9% in July…...
The US Government sold $723 billion of Treasury Securities this Week. Inflation Jumped and Met T-bill Yields
4+ mon, 1+ week ago (676+ words) The US government sold $723 billion of Treasury securities this week, spread over 10 auctions. Of these auction sales, $483 billion were Treasury bills, with maturities from 4 weeks to 26 weeks, most or all of them to replace maturing T-bills. Inflation rose to T-bill…...
US Government Sold $742 billion of Treasury Securities last Week. T-bill Yields now Below Surging Inflation. Bond Market Bets on Rate Hikes
3+ mon, 1+ week ago (937+ words) The US government sold $742 billion of Treasury securities last week, spread over 10 auctions. Of these auction sales, $504 billion were Treasury bills, with maturities from 4 weeks to 26 weeks, most or all of them to replace maturing T-bills, and $238 billion were notes…...
Americans Splurge Online and at Vehicle Dealers, instead of Buying Homes? YOLO? Retail Sales without Gas Stations Jump for 5th Month
1+ mon, 3+ week ago (1141+ words) Sales at gas stations, which move in near-lockstep with the price of gasoline, plunged by 5.3% in June from May (-48% annualized), seasonally adjusted, according to the Census Bureau today. Over the same period, the CPI for gasoline plunged by 9.7%. Retail sales…...
Long-Term Treasury Yields Surge, Wipe Out Effect of Bessent???s Hocus-Pocus Treasury Buybacks in 2 Days. Bond Market Not to Be Played With
3+ week, 1+ day ago (748+ words) demanded higher yields to get enticed off the fence and buy this $1 trillion of new debt while at the same time...
There’s Trouble Brewing in the Treasury Market
3+ mon, 6+ day ago (591+ words) The 2-year Treasury yield jumped by 12 basis points on Friday, to 4.17%, the highest since February 2025, when it was on the way down. Back then, it was anticipating more rate cuts, which came in the fall that year, three of them....
Another Sign that a Major Rethink of the Size of the Fed’s Balance Sheet Is Gaining Momentum
9+ mon, 3+ week ago (471+ words) He’d served as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011 under Ben Bernanke and supported QE-1 during the heat of the Financial Crisis, but opposed QE-2, and shortly after Bernanke pushed through QE-2 against all opposition,…...
My Thoughts about those August Retail Sales
11+ mon, 3+ week ago (1173+ words) Retail sales rose by 0.6% in August from July, July growth was revised up to +0.6% from +0.5%, and June’s growth was revised up further to +1.0%, seasonally adjusted, according to the Census Bureau today (blue in the chart). The three-month average growth, which…...
US Government Sold $518 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 6-Month to 2-Year Treasury Yields Spike on Warsh’s “Regime Change” at the Fed
2+ mon, 3+ week ago (897+ words) The US government sold $518 billion of Treasury securities during the week: $477 billion of Treasury bills, spread over six auctions, with maturities from 4 weeks to 26 weeks, most or all of them to replace maturing T-bills; and $41 billion of Treasury notes and…...
There Goes the Spring Selling Season: Mortgage Rates Jump, Mortgage Applications to Purchase a Home Drop
5+ mon, 2+ week ago (362+ words) The average weekly mortgage rate for conforming 30-year fixed mortgages rose to 6.43%, the highest since October 2025, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association today. This weekly measure of mortgage rates is once again solidly in the middle of the 6% to 7% range…...