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After biggest hiring binge ever in 2020-2021, it was clear there’d be a lot of sorting out & cleaning up afterwards. Is it finally time to bottom-fish this stock? Or is it a falling knife? Big Tech is finally plowing their cash & their investors’ cash into the economy. Tax refunds make great down-payments which are gre
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News
The Spread between 10-Year Treasury Yield & 30-Year Mortgage Rate Has Been Stuck at 2 Percentage Points despite Fannie & Freddie MBS Buybacks: Some Thoughts
1+ week, 3+ day ago (946+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.71%, the…...
Supply of Existing Single-Family Homes Rises to Highest in 10 Years, Condo Supply Highest since 2012, Sales in Deepfreeze
4+ mon, 2+ day ago (1146+ words) Sales of existing single-family homes that closed in April seasonally adjusted were unchanged from March, at an annual rate of 3.64 million sales, near the very bottom of the deepfreeze range that has existed for the past three-and-a-half years, according to…...
Housing Market’s Crucial “Spring Selling Season” Is in Tatters
4+ mon, 1+ week ago (559+ words) Late last year and early this year, the story was that dropping mortgage rates, powered by big rate cuts from the Fed, would unleash demand in the housing market in the spring – the key spring selling season – and that sales…...
Gap between Single-Family Rents & Multifamily Rents Widens to Record as Multifamily under Pressure
4+ mon, 1+ week ago (662+ words) Asking rents – the rents that landlords advertise for their vacant rental properties – soared during the pandemic. But not in lockstep across different markets. And in some markets, rents have started to decline, while they continue rising in others. And asking…...
Update on the “Lock-in Effect” in the Housing Market: Below-3% & 4% Mortgages Fade Very Slowly
5+ mon, 2+ week ago (886+ words) The share of 3% to 3.99% mortgages (blue) edged down to 30.9% — the painstakingly slow progression also slowed — down from a share of 40.6% at the peak in Q1 2022. The share of below-3% mortgages had exploded from early 2020 through Q1 2022 when the Fed’s interest rate repression…...
Supply of Single-Family Homes Surges to Highest for February in 9 Years, Demand Stuck in the Deepfreeze
6+ mon, 3+ day ago (1038+ words) Sales of existing single-family homes that closed in February ticked up seasonally adjusted from January by 2.5%, making up only a small portion of the 6.2% plunge in January from December, to an annual rate of 3.73 million sales, right along at the…...
“Locked-in” Homeowners Nevertheless Pay Off Below-4% Mortgages: their Share Drops to Lowest since Q4 2020
8+ mon, 1+ week ago (904+ words) The share of below-3% mortgages had exploded from early 2020 through Q1 2022 when the Fed’s interest rate repression – via trillions of dollars of asset purchases, including mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and 0% policy rates – created a tsunami of homeowners refinancing their homes to get…...
Entire Treasury Yield Curve from 6 Months to 30 Years Has Risen since Fed’s Rate Cut. Mortgage Rates too. Bond Market Edgy about Inflation & Supply
10+ mon, 4+ day ago (1023+ words) The 10-year Treasury yield closed on Friday at 4.11%, essentially where it had been for seven trading days, up by 12 basis points from October 28, the day before the Fed cut its policy rates, and up by 48 basis points since the first…...