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No upcoming events at this time “It’s the most wonderful time of the year…” or is it? Wait, I might be experiencing some holiday season nostalgia. Most everyone I know would not sing those words to describe “Tax Season”. Tariffs are the talk of corporate America right now. The markets (^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^DJI) are seeing si
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News
The Fed Was Supposed to Hold Next Week. One Inflation Report Just Put a Hike Back in Play.
2+ day, 9+ hour ago (307+ words) Federal Reserve officials were already heading into next week’s meeting divided over whether inflation had cooled enough to leave rates alone. Thursday’s producer-price report made that decision harder: wholesale prices rose 5.4% from a year earlier in August, and traders pushed…...
Goldman Finds the Alternatives Conversation Isn’t Keeping Up With the Money
5+ day, 17+ hour ago (372+ words) Goldman Sachs Asset Management surveyed 1,000 wealthy Americans and found an unusually sharp threshold in how they invest. Only 39% of households with $1 million to $5 million in investable assets own alternatives, but adoption rises to 63% above $5 million, 80% above $10 million and 91% above $20 million....
Trump Threatens to Stop Trading With Deficit Countries Unless the Fed Cuts Rates
1+ week, 9+ hour ago (483+ words) President Donald Trump responded to an unexpectedly strong August jobs report with an unusual ultimatum for Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh: lower interest rates or he could stop trading with countries that run surpluses against the United States. The threat…...
Scott Bessent’s Bond Rally Is Gone. The Market Is Back Where He Started.
1+ week, 3+ day ago (216+ words) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shocked the bond market on Aug. 19 by doubling planned purchases of long-dated government debt, briefly pushing the 30-year Treasury yield sharply lower. Less than two weeks later, the 30-year yield is back above 5.28%, essentially where it…...
Warsh Told Markets To Stop Waiting For The Fed To Tell Them What Happens Next
1+ week, 4+ day ago (530+ words) Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve chair to deliver a message markets could price immediately: inflation is still too high, financial conditions aren't obviously restrictive and another rate increase remains firmly on the table. The…...
Michael Barr Says The Fed Should Raise Rates If Inflation Won’t Cooperate
1+ week, 4+ day ago (500+ words) Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr put a straightforward condition on the Fed’s September decision Tuesday: if inflation isn’t cooling fast enough, policymakers should raise interest rates. “If inflation appears not to be moderating sufficiently, then I think we should act…...
Scott Bessent Calls It A Bond Buyback. Charlie Bilello Calls It Debt Reshuffling.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (277+ words) “This is debt reshuffling, not debt reduction,” Bilello said. His objection goes directly to the tension inside Bessent's intervention. Treasury wants to improve liquidity and ease pressure at the long end of the yield curve without pretending that buying outstanding…...
Trump Says Growth Can Solve The $40 Trillion Debt Problem. A Wharton Economist Says The Math Doesn’t Work.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (338+ words) President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have settled on an appealing answer to a deeply unappealing number. With the national debt now above $40 trillion, both say the United States can grow its way out of the problem. Kent…...
Kevin Warsh Wanted The Fed To Say Less. Jackson Hole Is Forcing Him To Say More.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (344+ words) The tension is unusually personal for a central-bank communications dispute. Warsh wants investors to rely less on Fed guidance and more on economic data, but economists and traders aren't merely asking him to predict the next interest-rate decision. They want…...
Scott Bessent Says $4 Billion Of Treasury Buybacks May Not Be Enough
3+ week, 2+ day ago (189+ words) That makes the relationship with Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh increasingly awkward. Warsh has argued that higher market rates can do some of the Fed's inflation-fighting work without another increase in the federal funds rate. Bessent is now explicitly trying…...