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No upcoming events at this time “It’s the most wonderful time of the year…” or is it? Wait, I might be experiencing some holiday season nostalgia. Most everyone I know would not sing those words to describe “Tax Season”. Tariffs are the talk of corporate America right now. The markets (^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^DJI) are seeing si
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News
Goldman Finds the Alternatives Conversation Isn’t Keeping Up With the Money
6+ day, 1+ hour ago (372+ words) Eighty percent of respondents use at least one financial advisor, and advised households have an average...
The Bond Market Is Daring The Fed To Raise Rates
3+ week, 4+ day ago (263+ words) That initially gave the Fed room to wait. Three policymakers preferred a quarter-point increase in July, but the committee held steady while it tried to determine whether renewed inflation pressure would remain concentrated around energy and other supply shocks or…...
Trump Says Growth Can Solve The $40 Trillion Debt Problem. A Wharton Economist Says The Math Doesn’t Work.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (338+ words) President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have settled on an appealing answer to a deeply unappealing number. With the national debt now above $40 trillion, both say the United States can grow its way out of the problem. Kent…...
Scott Bessent Calls It A Bond Buyback. Charlie Bilello Calls It Debt Reshuffling.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (277+ words) “This is debt reshuffling, not debt reduction,” Bilello said. His objection goes directly to the tension inside Bessent's intervention. Treasury wants to improve liquidity and ease pressure at the long end of the yield curve without pretending that buying outstanding…...
Warsh Told Markets To Stop Waiting For The Fed To Tell Them What Happens Next
1+ week, 4+ day ago (530+ words) price immediately: inflation is still too high, financial conditions aren't obviously restrictive...implications for markets, pointing readers toward Financial Times coverage of Warsh's Jackson Hole debut....forward guidance. At Jackson Hole, he argued that financial markets provide the Fed with…...
Bank Of America Says The $40 Trillion Debt Problem Is Becoming A Bond Problem
3+ week, 4+ day ago (450+ words) The U.S. national debt is closing in on $40 trillion, but Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett isn't treating the milestone as another abstract warning about Washington's finances. His message is aimed directly at markets: with governments borrowing heavily and bond yields…...
Wall Street’s Three-Year Winning Streak Is Running Into The Midterm Curse
3+ week, 4+ day ago (217+ words) The numbers aren't subtle. Since 1970, the S&P 500 has returned an average of just 0.58% during midterm years, compared with 9.25% across all years, according to Bank of America. Stocks finished those midterm years higher only 57% of the time, versus 75% for years…...
Treasury Just Pushed Long-Term Yields Down. That Makes Kevin Warsh’s Job Harder.
3+ week, 3+ day ago (345+ words) decide whether to make them tighter himself. Kestra Financial has hired longtime BlackRock executive Kelly...
Michael Barr Says The Fed Should Raise Rates If Inflation Won’t Cooperate
1+ week, 4+ day ago (500+ words) Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr put a straightforward condition on the Fed’s September decision Tuesday: if inflation isn’t cooling fast enough, policymakers should raise interest rates. “If inflation appears not to be moderating sufficiently, then I think we should act…...
Americans’ Wages Are Falling Behind Inflation Again
3+ week, 3+ day ago (242+ words) The economy is still growing, consumers are still spending and both unemployment and layoffs remain low. Yet Americans feel worse about the economy than they did during the pandemic, and one number helps explain the disconnect: inflation has now outpaced…...