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No upcoming events at this time “It’s the most wonderful time of the year…” or is it? Wait, I might be experiencing some holiday season nostalgia. Most everyone I know would not sing those words to describe “Tax Season”. Tariffs are the talk of corporate America right now. The markets (^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^DJI) are seeing si
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News
Trump Says Growth Can Solve The $40 Trillion Debt Problem. A Wharton Economist Says The Math Doesn’t Work.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (338+ words) President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have settled on an appealing answer to a deeply unappealing number. With the national debt now above $40 trillion, both say the United States can grow its way out of the problem. Kent…...
The Bond Market Is Daring The Fed To Raise Rates
3+ week, 4+ day ago (263+ words) That initially gave the Fed room to wait. Three policymakers preferred a quarter-point increase in July, but the committee held steady while it tried to determine whether renewed inflation pressure would remain concentrated around energy and other supply shocks or…...
Scott Bessent Calls It A Bond Buyback. Charlie Bilello Calls It Debt Reshuffling.
2+ week, 4+ day ago (277+ words) “This is debt reshuffling, not debt reduction,” Bilello said. His objection goes directly to the tension inside Bessent's intervention. Treasury wants to improve liquidity and ease pressure at the long end of the yield curve without pretending that buying outstanding…...
Bank Of America Says The $40 Trillion Debt Problem Is Becoming A Bond Problem
3+ week, 3+ day ago (450+ words) accumulating more debt. The price investors demand to finance it is moving higher at the same time. The arithmetic...
Goldman Finds the Alternatives Conversation Isn’t Keeping Up With the Money
5+ day, 15+ hour ago (372+ words) Goldman Sachs Asset Management surveyed 1,000 wealthy Americans and found an unusually sharp threshold in how they invest. Only 39% of households with $1 million to $5 million in investable assets own alternatives, but adoption rises to 63% above $5 million, 80% above $10 million and 91% above $20 million....
Wall Street’s Three-Year Winning Streak Is Running Into The Midterm Curse
3+ week, 3+ day ago (217+ words) The numbers aren't subtle. Since 1970, the S&P 500 has returned an average of just 0.58% during midterm years, compared with 9.25% across all years, according to Bank of America. Stocks finished those midterm years higher only 57% of the time, versus 75% for years…...
Scott Bessent’s Bond Rally Is Gone. The Market Is Back Where He Started.
1+ week, 3+ day ago (216+ words) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shocked the bond market on Aug. 19 by doubling planned purchases of long-dated government debt, briefly pushing the 30-year Treasury yield sharply lower. Less than two weeks later, the 30-year yield is back above 5.28%, essentially where it…...
Treasury Just Pushed Long-Term Yields Down. That Makes Kevin Warsh’s Job Harder.
3+ week, 3+ day ago (345+ words) Treasury says the larger buybacks are intended to improve liquidity in the 10-to-30-year portion of the market, where investors have been offering unusually large amounts of older securities back to the government. The expanded operations begin Sept. 9 and continue…...
Warsh Told Markets To Stop Waiting For The Fed To Tell Them What Happens Next
1+ week, 4+ day ago (530+ words) Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve chair to deliver a message markets could price immediately: inflation is still too high, financial conditions aren't obviously restrictive and another rate increase remains firmly on the table. The…...
The Fed Was Supposed to Hold Next Week. One Inflation Report Just Put a Hike Back in Play.
2+ day, 7+ hour ago (307+ words) Federal Reserve officials were already heading into next week’s meeting divided over whether inflation had cooled enough to leave rates alone. Thursday’s producer-price report made that decision harder: wholesale prices rose 5.4% from a year earlier in August, and traders pushed…...