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News
A September Rate Hike: The Fed's Least Bad Option?
5+ day, 7+ hour ago (478+ words) By Zhao Ying, Wallstreetcn The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls data has pushed the probability of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve to 60%, putting Fed Governor Walsh in a dilemma between disappointing the market or disappointing Trump. In its latest…...
The Fed Caught in a "Data Game": A 0.01 Percentage Point Shift Could Sway Interest Rate Decisions
5+ day, 12+ hour ago (1143+ words) The Fed's interest rate decision next week may hinge on this week's inflation data, with the difference ultimately influencing the policy choice possibly amounting to merely a few hundredths of a percentage point. Market expectations currently remain caught between rate…...
Trump’s Baffling Fed Threat May Be a Gift to Warsh
6+ day, 5+ hour ago (623+ words) Trump needs some good economic news. With only two months until the midterm congressional elections, his overall approval rating remains at a low point across both terms, and 71% of Americans—including four-tenths of Republicans—disapprove of his handling of living…...
Goldman Sachs Research Decoded: Better-Than-Expected Non-Farm Payrolls Dampen Rate Cut Expectations, Gold Strengthens A…
6+ day, 8+ hour ago (460+ words) August non-farm employment added 162,000 jobs, substantially surpassing market expectations. Data for prior months was also revised upward, with the unemployment rate stabilizing at 4.1%. This report has bolstered market expectations for a September rate hike, contrasting with the White House's public…...
Rare Meeting Between Bowman and Powell During Fed's Quiet Period Sparks Schedule Controversy
1+ week, 6+ hour ago (914+ words) By Wu Yu, Jin10 Data Latest disclosed Fed schedules show that two Federal Reserve governors met with banking industry figures or attended related events during the 'blackout period' surrounding FOMC meetings in May and June this year. While there is currently…...
Bank of America Research Report Analysis: Cohen Day or Bernanke Day, The Internal Fed Debate Over Rate Hike Pathways
1+ week, 9+ hour ago (676+ words) BofA believes Warsh's hawkish stance essentially tells the market that the baseline path has shifted to the Kohn track. He did not formally commit to a rate hike, yet provided more directional guidance than his communication philosophy would suggest. BofA's…...
US Stocks Trend (September 7): Nonfarm payrolls exceed expectations, reigniting rate hike expectations; US-Iran conflic…
1+ week, 13+ hour ago (464+ words) The rising rate hike expectations directly weighed on high-valuation assets. The three major indices ended their two-day winning streak to close collectively lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.38% at 7,718.60 points, the Nasdaq down 0.29% at 26,506.99 points, and the Dow down 0.51% at…...
Analysis of Goldman Sachs Research Report: U.S. Economy Not Overheating Overall; Localized Tightening in AI-Related Sec…
1+ week, 6+ day ago (517+ words) Goldman Sachs measures labor tightness across industries using the "job-worker gap". This metric captures the true tightening or loosening of the labor market more accurately than the unemployment rate. The breadth of wage growth remains in a moderate range. Goldman…...
Morgan Stanley Research Report Analysis: Gold Hits $4,450 Target Ahead of Schedule, Central Bank Buying Provides Underl…
3+ week, 3+ day ago (546+ words) Gold has already reached Morgan Stanley's Q4 target price of $4,450/oz, ahead of expectations. On August 20, Morgan Stanley released a commodities quick review. From July to August, declining odds of Fed rate hikes drove net inflows into gold ETFs of 70 tonnes,…...
US Treasuries' Most Sensitive Moment: $16 Billion Long-Term Bond Auction + Fed Minutes, Market Faces Test Early Tomorro…
3+ week, 5+ day ago (701+ words) By Zhang Yaqi, WallstreetCN The global bond market is experiencing the most fierce sell-off wave in decades, while the US market is about to face two major stress tests on the same day. In the early morning of August 20 Beijing…...