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News

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33855

A September Rate Hike: The Fed's Least Bad Option?

5+ day, 6+ hour ago   (478+ words) By Zhao Ying, Wallstreetcn The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls data has pushed the probability of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve to 60%, putting Fed Governor Walsh in a dilemma between disappointing the market or disappointing Trump. In its latest…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33845

The Fed Caught in a "Data Game": A 0.01 Percentage Point Shift Could Sway Interest Rate Decisions

5+ day, 11+ hour ago   (1143+ words) The Fed's interest rate decision next week may hinge on this week's inflation data, with the difference ultimately influencing the policy choice possibly amounting to merely a few hundredths of a percentage point. Market expectations currently remain caught between rate…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33821

Goldman Sachs Research Decoded: Better-Than-Expected Non-Farm Payrolls Dampen Rate Cut Expectations, Gold Strengthens A…

6+ day, 7+ hour ago   (460+ words) August non-farm employment added 162,000 jobs, substantially surpassing market expectations. Data for prior months was also revised upward, with the unemployment rate stabilizing at 4.1%. This report has bolstered market expectations for a September rate hike, contrasting with the White House's public…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33775

US Stocks Trend (September 7): Nonfarm payrolls exceed expectations, reigniting rate hike expectations; US-Iran conflic…

1+ week, 12+ hour ago   (464+ words) The rising rate hike expectations directly weighed on high-valuation assets. The three major indices ended their two-day winning streak to close collectively lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.38% at 7,718.60 points, the Nasdaq down 0.29% at 26,506.99 points, and the Dow down 0.51% at…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33646

Analysis of Goldman Sachs Research Report: U.S. Economy Not Overheating Overall; Localized Tightening in AI-Related Sec…

1+ week, 6+ day ago   (517+ words) Goldman Sachs measures labor tightness across industries using the "job-worker gap". This metric captures the true tightening or loosening of the labor market more accurately than the unemployment rate. The breadth of wage growth remains in a moderate range. Goldman…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33372

US Treasuries' Most Sensitive Moment: $16 Billion Long-Term Bond Auction + Fed Minutes, Market Faces Test Early Tomorro…

3+ week, 5+ day ago   (701+ words) By Zhang Yaqi, WallstreetCN The global bond market is experiencing the most fierce sell-off wave in decades, while the US market is about to face two major stress tests on the same day. In the early morning of August 20 Beijing…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33365

Nomura Securities Research Report Analysis: Package Substrate Shipment Value Surges 98%, High-End Supply Tight Balance…

3+ week, 5+ day ago   (553+ words) The tight situation in high-end packaging substrates is creating price rigidity. June data from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry provides the strongest evidence. Shipment value doubled, while area increased by only 20%. The contrast between rising prices and shrinking…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33355

Bitget UEX Daily | US Treasury Options Shift to Betting on 2027 Rate Cuts; September Rate Hike Expectations Cool Signif…

3+ week, 5+ day ago   (387+ words) US Treasury Options Shift to Bet on 2027 Rate Cut; September Rate Hike Expectations Cool Significantly Trump Pauses Contact with Iran, Geopolitical Stalemate Continues Multiple US States Tighten Data Center Power Regulation, AI Infrastructure Becomes Midterm Election Issue 1. US Treasury options…...

TechFlow
techflowpost.com > en-US > article > 33346

Will Waller Hedge at the Global Central Bank Symposium? Is Internal Fed Divergence the Real Focus?

3+ week, 6+ day ago   (224+ words) Two partners from the same firm serve on the boards of competing companies respectively; the Department of Justice investigation has been ongoing for nearly a year. Bitcoin miners fully shifting to AI computing power are ignoring an important lesson. The…...