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News
JPMorgan now sees the Fed hiking in September and December
1+ day, 16+ hour ago (195+ words) The market is already priced at 86% so they're late to the party on this one. Might as well also put out a forecast for Spain to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In any case, all that's at stake now is…...
The oil market is suddenly a huge problem
2+ day, 16+ hour ago (270+ words) The good news for Trump is that if he doesn't want the Federal Reserve to hike rates twice before year end, he has the tools to stop it. Today, we're seeing signs of a scramble to secure supplies with brent…...
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7174 – Reuters estimate
2+ day, 9+ hour ago (276+ words) The daily fixing is Beijing's quietest but clearest tool for telling markets how fast it wants the yuan to move, and lately the message has been to slow down. The People's Bank of China sets the daily USD/CNY reference…...
Canada Employment change for August -41,7K vs 15.0K estimate
1+ week, 1+ day ago (339+ words) Details for the month of August: The Canada employment report for August was weaker than expected. Employment fell by 41.7K, well below the expected gain of 15.0K, with losses in both full-time and part-time positions. Full-time employment declined by 35.9K, while part-time employment…...
Coming up: What Lagarde may say next, two days after the ECB's rate rise
2+ day, 8+ hour ago (264+ words) Her prior comments linking Middle East-driven oil prices above $100 a barrel to inflation risk are the more market-relevant thread to watch for repetition, since any escalation in that language would sit alongside the broader energy-driven inflation story already playing out…...
Japan wholesale inflation stays hot in August, cements case for BOJ hike
2+ day, 9+ hour ago (201+ words) Japan's wholesale prices came in hotter than expected again, leaving the Bank of Japan with little room to avoid a rate hike next week. Shell offloads 609-MW plant for $715M gain, acquires 169-MW PJM gas asset to lift trading returns. US…...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.7743 (vs. estimate at 6.7174)
2+ day, 5+ hour ago (122+ words) The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. More here on this. Tesla's Cybercab touts 50% cheaper rides than Uber, yet sometimes costs double—traders weigh the pricing risk. S&P 500 slips below 50-day as…...
Surging oil prices and sinking bonds have decided the Fed need to hike
2+ day, 21+ hour ago (370+ words) The US dollar is sizzling today as the market senses that the Fed will have no other choice but to hike rates. Oil is up for the eigth consecutive day and the gains are accelerating. WTI is up $4.25 on the…...
ECB's Lagarde: The economy is proving resilient
2+ day, 21+ hour ago (107+ words) The 'no brainer' line and some other comments were surprisingly hawkish. OpenAI swaps $1/year federal pilot for usage-based pricing, offering 50% discount to agencies. Starbucks' Niccol wins back customers, now bets $1B on store upgrades to fatten margins. August home sales drop…...
Oil prices above $100 continue to lift bond yields as inflation fears grow
2+ day, 22+ hour ago (454+ words) Oil prices and bond yields continue to push higher in European trading today, offering a timely reminder to broader markets that inflation risks remain very much in focus. Brent crude is up over 1% to above $102, while WTI crude now up…...