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News
JPMorgan now sees the Fed hiking in September and December
1+ day, 22+ hour ago (195+ words) The market is already priced at 86% so they're late to the party on this one. Might as well also put out a forecast for Spain to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In any case, all that's at stake now is…...
Surging oil prices and sinking bonds have decided the Fed need to hike
3+ day, 4+ hour ago (370+ words) The US dollar is sizzling today as the market senses that the Fed will have no other choice but to hike rates. Oil is up for the eigth consecutive day and the gains are accelerating. WTI is up $4.25 on the…...
Oil prices above $100 continue to lift bond yields as inflation fears grow
3+ day, 5+ hour ago (454+ words) Oil prices and bond yields continue to push higher in European trading today, offering a timely reminder to broader markets that inflation risks remain very much in focus. Brent crude is up over 1% to above $102, while WTI crude now up…...
ECB preview: what is expected, what is priced in and what could surprise
3+ day, 9+ hour ago (869+ words) The European Central Bank is widely expected to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% today, with the move already fully priced in by the markets. With the rate decision itself unlikely to provide much of a surprise, the…...
EUR/USD almost erased Warsh-driven selloff ahead of the ECB decision. What to watch next?
3+ day, 1+ hour ago (683+ words) The US dollar has been losing ground ever since the NFP report got released. This happened mainly because the market focus was not on the NFP report, but on the CPI. The market pays attention to the data that the…...
Euro braces for ECB tone today as ING sees a 25bp hike either way
3+ day, 16+ hour ago (331+ words) ING thinks the ECB's rate move today is close to a formality, it is the tone of the guidance that will actually move markets. ING expects the European Central Bank to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points at today's…...
Gold Technicals: Buyers and sellers battle between key support and resistance as the market awaits the next shove
3+ day, 21+ hour ago (436+ words) The price of gold remains in an up-and-down trading range as buyers and sellers battle for control. The technical levels are clearly defined, but the market is still waiting for the next shove—and ultimately a break—to establish the…...
US sells 10-year notes at 4.834% vs 4.849% WI
3+ day, 23+ hour ago (160+ words) This was a reopening so it's 9 years, 11 months. This should unwind some of the angst about Bessent's buyback as it's a 1.5 bps stop through, which is the most since April 2025. In any case, this is still the most the Treasury…...
Gold trade idea: If price sweeps below 4,431, this buy zone gets interesting
4+ day, 6+ hour ago (1700+ words) Important: We are not forecasting that gold will fall into our buy zone. Gold may continue higher without filling any of these orders. The idea is simply that if gold pulls back into roughly 4,417-4,428, we believe that area becomes interesting…...
Feds Waller: Finally seeing some signs of disinflation in recent data. How are the markets reacting?
4+ day, 5+ hour ago (494+ words) Fed's Waller is speaking and although he is keeping the door open for a tightening is also encouraged by signs of disinflation. Waller says: Waller is keeping his options open ahead of the September meeting, with the August inflation data…...