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European Central Bank: September hike seen with energy risks??? Nomura
25+ min ago (468+ words) Nomura’s Euro area team expects the European Central Bank to raise rates by 25 basis points to 2.50% at the 10 September meeting, citing higher HICP inflation and resilient growth. They highlight hawkish comments from ECB officials and note that Brent and Dutch…...
Federal Reserve: Markets eye Warsh signals??? Rabobank
1+ hour, 13+ min ago (425+ words) Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen notes that central bankers and market participants are focused on Jackson Hole, where FOMC Chair Warsh will give the keynote. Report highlights his aversion to forward guidance and suggests he may avoid clear…...
US Dollar: Jackson Hole scenarios shape FX risk??? MUFG
1+ hour, 43+ min ago (502+ words) MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart argue that Jackson Hole only becomes a significant FX event for the Dollar when the Federal Reserve Chair delivers a clear policy surprise or commits to future action. They outline three scenarios for Chair…...
Nonfarm Payrolls face a reality check with key benchmark revision
3+ hour, 35+ min ago (1282+ words) US investors will watch on Friday a labor market report that is far less familiar than the monthly jobs release but has gained considerable importance following the spectacular revisions of recent years. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish…...
British Pound: Energy-driven inflation risks support GBP against US Dollar??? MUFG
3+ hour, 39+ min ago (532+ words) MUFG highlights that rising European natural gas prices are reviving inflation risks, which could push the Bank of England toward another rate hike and underpin the Pound. While crude Oil remains contained, UK natural gas futures have surged, and the…...
US Dollar: Warsh speech keeps ranges contained??? ING
3+ hour, 58+ min ago (456+ words) ING’s Chris Turner notes a quiet, risk-positive week for global markets, with low volatility and mixed G10 FX, as the Dollar debasement theme fails to extend. Markets expect little on monetary policy from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, and…...
Oil: Hormuz stalemate sustains inflation risks - Rabobank
4+ hour, 9+ min ago (434+ words) Rabobank Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen says the US-Iran stalemate and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz are keeping oil-driven inflation risks elevated. Inventories have cushioned reduced flows so far, but prolonged tensions could erode that buffer, while Venezuelan…...
Forex Today: Fed Chair Warsh speech at Jackson Hole, NFP benchmark revision to lift volatility
4+ hour, 50+ min ago (470+ words) Here is what you need to know on Friday, August 28: The trading action among major currency pairs remain choppy on Friday as investors gear up for Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the…...
US Dollar: Warsh speech risks asymmetric USD reaction??? Commerzbank
4+ hour, 57+ min ago (455+ words) Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes the US Dollar has stabilized after last week’s setback, with Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech seen as the next key test. Baur expects little in terms of forward guidance on a September rate hike but highlights…...
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Trading sideways around 0.8500 amid fading bullish traction
5+ hour, 7+ min ago (445+ words) The Euro (EUR) nurses moderate losses against the British Pound (GBP), with price action contained within the previous day's range and market volatility muted, as investors brace for Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole. The EUR/GBP…...