Install
CEA Chair Miran asserts that some of the surprise in the employment numbers is due issues of seasonality. Can we see that? I can’t… As of 1:35PM CT today, the President has fired the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, within 6 hours of the latest employment release. So what all of feared about the safety of the independ
- 26articles · 30d
- 2+ day agolatest article
- Aug 15, 2026earliest in window
- 0%with images
- 149avg words
- Finance & Business 23
- Economy, Business & Finance 22
- News 11
- Finance 6
- Business & Industrial 5
- Politics 2
- Politics2 2
- Arts, Culture, Entertainment & Media 1
Please confirm you are human
This browser or connection looks automated. Press and continuously hold the control for 3 seconds to enable Google-hosted web results and, when separately allowed, AI-assisted answers.
A successful check enables 100 search requests. Interactive access does not authorize scraping, systematic collection, or reuse of search output.
News
Ten Year Rates Up
3+ day, 1+ hour ago (26+ words) Econbrowser Figure 1: Ten year constant maturity Treasury (blue), on the run (red), both %. Source: Treasury, tradingeconomics.com. Leave a Reply Cancel reply...
High Real Interest Rates Because of Incipient Rapid Growth?
3+ day, 19+ hour ago (72+ words) Econbrowser That’s former CEA Chair Miran’s argument in the FT. Is this assertion empirically validated? A graph from Hamilton, Harris, Hatzius and West (2016) suggests, maybe not: Source: Hamilton et al. (2016) exhibit 3.3, as edited by Chinn. The real rate-growth rate link…...
Policy Uncertainty: Economic and Trade
4+ day, 23+ hour ago (43+ words) Econbrowser Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), 7 day centered moving average (red, left scale), EPU-trade policy (green, right scale), 7 day centered moving average (black, right scale), Source: policyuncertainty.com. One thought on “Policy Uncertainty: Economic and Trade”...
The Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance
1+ week, 3+ day ago (181+ words) Improving through 2025Q3. But taking out the revenue associated with the illegal IEEPA tariffs, well… Figure 1: Federal budget balance excluding automatic stabilizers (blue), and excluding IEEPA tariffs (red), as a share of potential GDP. Assumes amounts above Q1 tariff revenue is IEEPA…...
Business Cycle Indicators: Real Consumption Is Flat
2+ week, 3+ day ago (150+ words) Nominal consumption beats expectations ( +0.2% m/m vs +0.1% Bbg consensus), but real personal income ex-transfers remains below recent peak. The fact that consumption is flat in July is notable given rising personal income ex transfers. The SP500 was also (perhaps not coincidentally)…...
Wisconsin Goods Exports by Destination, 2025
2+ week, 5+ day ago (58+ words) Econbrowser As we lumber into an expanded trade war with Canada: Source: Census via ITA, and author’s calculations. To date (1pm CT), gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany has not made a comment on the original Section 338 tariffs to be levied against Canada,…...
Monthly GDP Flat Since March
3+ week, 23+ hour ago (116+ words) Econbrowser SPGMI’s estimate as of 8/3: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (bold orange), industrial production (red), personal income excluding current transfers in Ch.2017$ (bold light green), manufacturing and trade sales in Ch.2017$ (black), and monthly…...
Inflation Adjusted Average Hourly Earnings below February 2026 Levels
3+ week, 2+ day ago (78+ words) Econbrowser They’re all lower than they were in February … but deflated using CPI ex shelter (mimicking HICP), they’re down 1.4%. Figure 1: Average hourly earnings for production and nonsupervisory workers deflated by CPI – all urban (black), CPI wage earners and clerical workers…...
???I am the king of debt. I do love debt. I love debt.???
3+ week, 3+ day ago (245+ words) “I am the king of debt. I do love debt. I love debt.” Econbrowser That is Donald J. Trump, in May 2016. So why the surprise about debt worries? It was only a question of time. Figure 1: Debt held by public…...
Import Prices Running Hot
3+ week, 3+ day ago (195+ words) Not just for computers, peripherals and semiconductors – and running hot despite dollar appreciation. From MarketPlace, with Justin Ho, today: without the cost of energy, import prices rose. In fact, they were up 4.5% from the same time a year ago. It’s…...