Specialized search for economics

4+ min ago (433+ words) The prospect of a "Trump Fed takeover" is rapidly becoming a central macro theme for 2026, with some traders arguing that markets still underestimate how radical the shift could be for global liquidity " and by extension for crypto. Macro commentator plur daddy (@plur_daddy) describes it bluntly via X: "The Trump Fed takeover being underpriced is my primary theme going into 2026 (hence my gold bet). This is a momentous shift: the bigger and more convex the catalyst, the more difficult it is for markets to price it in properly." Former Fed trader Joseph Wang known as "Fed Guy" echoes the concern from inside the plumbing, warning: "The market underestimates the likelihood of a Trump Fed. The Administration is showing resourcefulness and determination for lower rates. That could set off the blow off top in equities, where implied vol shows speculation still has room to…...

6+ min ago (541+ words) Crypto braces for Fed's final 2025 meeting; BTC eyes $92K$100K as liquidity signals could trigger Santa Rally or pullback. Bitcoin shows bullish signs, ETH outperforms; market reaction hinges on Powell's tone and hints at easing or liquidity support. As the Federal Reserve prepares for its final meeting of 2025, the crypto market is bracing for potential turbulence and opportunity. Market indicators, including data from Polymarket, show a 94% probability that the Fed will implement a 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday, marking the third cut of the year. The total crypto market cap rose to $3.2 trillion as traders position for the Fed's rate decision. BTC climbed to $92.5K, with ZEC and AVAX leading mid-cap gains. Historically, Bitcoin tends to climb into FOMC meetings, experiences some short-term volatility during the announcement, and then often retraces afterward. Ethereum and Bitcoin have both retraced significantly from their all-time…...

11+ min ago (345+ words) European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and French central bank governor, Francois Villeroy, said during European trading hours on Wednesday that the wise thing is to hold interest rates steady at their current level. The impact of ECB Villeroy's comments appears to be insignificant on Euro (EUR) as investors are also anticipating the Eurozone central bank to maintain a neutral stance on interest rates in the near term. As of writing, the EUR/USD trades 0.12% higher to near 1.1640. Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis. The EUR/USD pair'trades flat around 1.1625 during the early European session on Wednesday. Markets turn cautious ahead of the US'Federal Reserve'interest rate decision later on Wednesday, in which a 25 basis points rate cut is almost fully…...

16+ min ago (800+ words) An official statement by the Ministry of Commerce & Industry on Wednesday stated that to boost India's manufacturing capacity and support the vision of 'Aatmanirbhar Bharat', Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes have been launched for 14 key sectors with an outlay of Rs. 1.97 lakh crore. Also Read | 'May the Ideals of Prabhu Shri Ram Keep Guiding Us for Eternity': PM Narendra Modi on Inclusion of Deepawali in UNESCO's Intangible Cultural Heritage List. It also shared that the actual investment of over Rs. 1.88 lakh crore has been realized till June 2025, resulting in incremental production/sales of over Rs. 17 lakh crore and employment generation of over 12.3 lakhs (direct and indirect). Exports under the PLI schemes have crossed Rs. 7.5 lakh crore, driven by sectors including electronics, pharmaceuticals, telecom and networking products, and food processing. Also Read | 'Joyous Moment': India Welcomes Inclusion of Deepawali in UNESCO's…...

30+ min ago (409+ words) Asian equities fell on Wednesday as investors grew increasingly cautious ahead of a key U.S. Federal Reserve interest-rate decision, while signs of persistent deflation in China further dampened regional sentiment. Markets across the region tracked a softer lead from Wall Street, where U.S. stocks edged lower overnight on jitters that the Fed could accompany an expected 25-basis-point rate cut with more hawkish forward guidance. S&P 500 futures were flat as of 23:14 ET (04:14 GMT). Chinese markets were among the weakest performers. The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.9%, the Shanghai Composite dropped 0.7%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 0.4%. Fresh government figures showed that while China's consumer price index rose year-on-year in November, it unexpectedly contracted compared to the prior month. Producer prices fell for the 38th straight month, underscoring entrenched deflationary pressures. The inflation surprise renewed concerns about China's growth outlook into 2026, highlighting persistently soft domestic…...

32+ min ago (141+ words) The assessment is up from October's forecast, with the fund citing government stimulus and lower tariffs as drivers China's economy is projected to grow by 5 per cent in 2025 before slowing to 4.5 per cent in 2026, the International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday, offering a slightly more upbeat outlook that underscores its view of resilience despite trade frictions. China's economy has shown stability but faces tests caused by continued imbalances, said Sonali Jain-Chandra, the IMF's mission chief for China. "China's economy has shown notable resilience despite facing multiple shocks in recent years." "China's large economic size and heightened global trade tensions make reliance on exports less viable for sustaining robust growth," she said, urging Beijing to transition to a consumption-led growth model, away from an over-reliance on exports and investment....

37+ min ago (403+ words) Published - December 10, 2025 12:57 pm IST - Islamabad "The latest Internatio'nal Monetary Fund (IMF) projections for Pakistan suggest that Pakistan's economy has regained short-term stability, but it remains burdened by high debt, weak investment and slow employment growth," a media report said on Wednesday (December 10, 2025)." Pakistan's population also continues to grow at a high pace, with mid-2025 official figures citing 2.55%, while World Bank data points to 1.8-1.9%. "In terms of inflation, after averaging 23.4% in FY-24, consumer prices are estimated to have fallen sharply to 4.5% in FY-25, and projected to rise to 6.3% in FY-26," the report said. "Unemployment is projected to fall only modestly from 8.3% in FY-25 to 7.5% in FY-26, underscoring the weak job-creating capacity of the current growth path," it added. "On the fiscal front, government revenue and grants are projected to rise from 12.7% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in FY-25 to 16.3% by FY…...

44+ min ago (300+ words) The FOMC meeting began on Tuesday, 9 December 2025, and the policy outcome will be announced on Wednesday, 10 December 2025 The FOMC meeting began on Tuesday, 9 December 2025, and the policy outcome will be announced on Wednesday, 10 December 2025. The Federal Reserve will release its decision at 2 p.m. EDT, which is 12:30 a.m. IST on Thursday'an hour later than usual due to the Daylight Saving Time (DST) adjustment in the US. Investors can watch Powell's press conference live through the Federal Reserve's official website and its official YouTube channel. Real-time updates, commentary, and analysis will also be available through financial news platforms and Mint's live blog covering the US Fed's policy decision. During its 29 October 2025 meeting, the FOMC cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%4.00%, marking the second rate cut of 2025 after the first reduction in September. This move came after a prolonged pause since December…...

45+ min ago (784+ words) Stock market diversification helps spread risk and capitalise on growth and income. Mark Hartley considers the options for British investors. These days, volatile stock markets are leaving investors wondering where best to put their money. Should Britons stick with familiar FTSE 100 blue-chips or chase US growth stocks on the S&P 500? As usual, the optimal strategy is probably one of moderation " a balance between both worlds. In the UK, investors have access to value-oriented, dividend-rich stocks, and across the pond, America's growth engines. Leaning toward energy, financials and healthcare (12%), the UK offers an average dividend yield of 3.5% " double the S&P 500's 1.5%. This defensive tilt does well during market downturns, delivering steady income amid uncertainty. Conversely, the US's tech weighting drives explosive growth but adds volatility risk. With valuations averaging around 25 times forward earnings, that's almost double the FTSE's average…...

51+ min ago (412+ words) Ethereum jumps 7% before December 10 FOMC, reviving bullish sentiment across broader crypto market CME FedWatch shows 90% odds of 25 basis point rate cut boosting risk appetite Ethereum price today jumped nearly 7% ahead of the highly awaited FOMC meeting on December 10. This sudden jump has brought new energy and hope back into the crypto market. As of now, ETH is trading below $3,400, but well-known crypto trader Captain Faibik shared a bullish chart suggesting that Ethereum could see a 30% rally in the coming days. A major reason for Ethereum's rise is the growing confidence that the U.S. Federal Reserve may cut interest rates again. The Fed has already delivered two rate cuts earlier, and many traders believe another cut could come before the year ends." Meanwhile, CME FedWatch shows nearly a 90% chance of a 0.25% rate cut, especially as inflation cools and economic pressure builds. This…...